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Razvan's avatar

GWI is worth a closer look. It trades at a discount of 50% to NAV, while the CRE sector has rerated. They have no immediate debt maturities, the balance sheet is well funded and most of the portfolio is relatively new. Little development activity in the region and still strong GDP growth is pushing rental rates higher, especially in good locations. Problem is in the Polish regional cities, where vacancy is still high - but they are working on this. Potential rerating coming from balance sheet deleveraging and there could be a concentration of the shareholding down the road, potential for a tender offer at book value. Disclaimer: long stock.

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Tristan's avatar

Getbusy - "Not sure what’s exactly the pitch here"

The elevator pitch is that the company has a profitable division (Virtual Cabinet) that is subsidising their growth in another (Smartvault). They deliberately have operated near breakeven to scale their business over time in a cash neutral manner, which, due to advance billing has historically been an accounting loss.

They have had very mixed results on their investment in the past few years and just recently have told the market in their 2024 results that "Our SmartVault business has reached a scale at which it will generate rapidly increasing EBITDA margins and cashflows over the next couple of years.".

The management has a VERY strong divestment incentive to sell the company for 70-150m GBP by year end 2029. I know for a fact that they have turned away many lowballs, otherwise this probably would've gotten bought out some time ago.

To make the business more strategically viable for acquirers they have worked on making it more enterprise-grade and partner-led which has caused an outflow of subscribers and slowing growth, but retention rates have improved, ARPU increased dramatically, and they have embedded themselves within the ecosystem of giants such as Intuit, Turnkey IPS, and Netsuite whilst partnering with the likes of Rightworks etc.

(I am a shareholder, and have been for ~3 years).

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